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The Planning Fallacy: Build It and They Will Come

 

By: Burgert Gildenhuys

 

Too often, municipalities build infrastructure based on planning assumptions and then wait in vain for growth to materialise. This top-down logic leads to:

  • White elephant infrastructure in politically-favoured zones
  • Costly pipe networks extending to empty sites
  • Recurrent under-spending due to stalled land development

 

Infrastructure should follow demand, not planning speculation. However, that requires spatial planners to accept that market signals, rather than spatial ideals, should guide capital investment.

Equally dangerous is the opposite trend, namely, demand-led growth in areas where networks are weak or non-existent.

 

Think of informal settlements mushrooming beyond sewer lines, or suburban sprawl dependent on overloaded arterial roads. When investment flows to areas without adequate infrastructure, the result is rising service backlogs and long-term financial liabilities.

 

INFRASTRUCTURE INTELLIGENCE: THE MISSING LINK

What municipalities desperately lack is infrastructure intelligence embedded in spatial planning. This includes:

  • Real-time GIS mapping of infrastructure capacity and constraints
  • Costed infrastructure investment frameworks that guide land use decisions
  • Engineering input into all land development applications before approvals
  • Integrated capital planning that links the IDP, SDF, and municipal budget

 

Without this, spatial plans become wish lists and infrastructure becomes reactive, fragmented,

and unsustainable.

 

LET INFRASTRUCTURE LEAD SPATIAL FORM

The path forward is not complicated. Municipalities must allow infrastructure networks to dictate the pace, scale, and location of land development. This doesn’t mean abandoning spatial goals. It means grounding them in feasibility.

 

Three principles should guide this shift:

  • Plan where you can service, not where you wish growth would go
  • Phase infrastructure investment with clear economic triggers
  • Budget for maintenance before expansion

 

In a fiscally constrained environment, this is not optional; it is survival planning.

 

FROM DISCONNECT TO DISCIPLINE

The spatial–engineering disconnect is one of the most destructive features of municipal

governance.

 

It wastes money, undermines investment, and erodes the credibility of service delivery. It must end. Infrastructure is not passive; it shapes behaviour, constrains form, and enables opportunity.

 

If we want functional, liveable, and economically viable cities, we must treat networks not as invisible utilities, but as the spatial logic of urban life.

 

In the next article, we will turn to the spaces in between; the residential and productive land that absorbs growth.

 

There we find the consequences of bad planning most visible: informal sprawl, backyards under pressure, and the proliferation of land uses that defy regulation because they reflect real need.

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